Title: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: hordman on December 17, 2013, 07:58:13 am Wow, was really hoping for some Motor City Magic last nite and have the Lions knock off BAL for us, but alas Hillbilly didn't come thru for us.
We all knew, deep down inside that this is gonna come down to the last week, prob 4th Qtr, not only for us but other teams that need to lose/win for use. It's been typical fashion for all MIA games (except NO) to come down to the final Qtr/drive It's been exciting to say the least. With all the off-field problems and distractions, this team has performed way more than I thought they would. I think MIA wins the last 2 games, gets to 10-6. I think BAL will lose one of the last 2. It would have been nice to have them lose last nite, but out of all their 3 remaining games, the DET was the very last on my list as one of their losses. I think MIA is playing great ball right now, but without a doubt, they need to win BOTH games to have any shot. One loss and I truly believe it's over for them. It's been a great ride, sans Martin/Incognito storyline, and they definitely have provided some great wins this season. Go Phins!!!!! Title: Re: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: Cathal on December 17, 2013, 10:00:51 am All they have to do is win the last two and they're in. Of course, they play two not-so-good teams so that means they could easily lose one or both of them and have to rely on help.
Title: Re: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: Spider-Dan on December 18, 2013, 11:45:48 am Here's the three postseason scenarios for MIA in week 16:
- MIA wins, BAL+CIN lose: MIA clinches a playoff berth - MIA+SD lose, BAL+CIN win: MIA is eliminated from playoff contention - NE wins: NE clinches AFC East and MIA can finish no higher than #6 seed Strangely enough, the #2 seed is still in reach for MIA. It would involve the following: - 2 NE losses - at least 1 CIN loss - 1 IND loss + 1 IND win if BAL wins AFCN, otherwise at least 1 IND loss (MIA wins tiebreak between MIA/BAL/IND and MIA/CIN/IND but loses MIA/BAL) Not sure which would be more fraudulent, a 9-0 KC team or the Dolphins with a #2 seed, though. It's a close contest. Looks like my non-Dolphin rooting interests for next week are MIN (vs. CIN), KC (vs. IND), and SD (vs. OAK). Title: Re: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: CF DolFan on December 18, 2013, 01:30:03 pm Correct me if I'm wrong but if Miami wins one game and either Cincy or Baltimore lose then Miami is going into the playoffs. The Cincy/Balt is going to be the deciding factor for those two teams.
Title: Re: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: Spider-Dan on December 18, 2013, 01:56:52 pm Incorrect.
If MIA goes 1-1 (finishing 9-7) and BAL also finishes 9-7 (beating NE but losing to CIN), CIN would win the AFCN and BAL would get the #6 seed over MIA. ...unless SD also finishes 9-7, in which case MIA wins the three way tiebreaker with BAL and SD. Title: Re: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: EDGECRUSHER on December 18, 2013, 07:55:04 pm Assuming we get the Wild Card, who do we play in the Wild Card round if Cincy wins the division? Do we travel to Indy? I think that would be our best bet with that team struggling and weather not a factor.
Title: Re: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: Spider-Dan on December 18, 2013, 08:14:39 pm The 2/3/4/6 seeds are in a great state of flux right now, as evidenced by the fact that MIA is still in play for the #2. The only thing guaranteed right now is that DEN and KC will occupy two of the 1/2/5 seeds.
So as the #6 seed, MIA could wind up playing at NE, CIN, BAL, or IND. Title: Re: Miami's Playoff Chances Post by: EDGECRUSHER on December 18, 2013, 10:03:27 pm I would be surprised if NE doesn't get the 2 seed, so that really means we either travel to Indy or Bal/Cin. Much rather travel to Indy or Cincy. Never had much success against Baltimore or their voodoo.
|