The Dolphins Make Me Cry.com - Forums

Now at least Brady can't negatively affect us by beating Cincy.

We want

The Patriots to lose

The Jets to lose

The Chargers to lose.

If all three of these teams lose, Miami falls out of the picture

Will they get any help?

Or will they have to win their last two to get in?

I am at my healthcare job for an all day shift.  I got nothing to do but follow the games.

Why do i torture myself like this?   The Lions just drove eight minutes to the Jets one, and came away with nothing.

Now the Lions return a punt for a touchdown

Jets punt the football.

Let's hope this continues.

Lions punt.  The first quarter ends with the Lions up 7-0

Wilson connects for a touchdown to tie the game

Lions get a field goal

Wilson is lighting it up for the Jets right now.

I doubt Miami is going to get any help whatsoever today.

The Lions defense stiffens forcing a punt with under two minutes

Wilson continues his amazing performance, carving up the defense

The Jets tie it on a field goal.

10-10 going into the half.

Brady getting all the breaks as usual.

If the results hold, and Tampa Bay wins, it gives them a two game division lead with 3 games to play

The Jets open the second half with an interception, but the Lions can only get a field goal out of it.

Now the Jets have a big play called back because of a penalty

Both teams exchange punts.  The Jets have it down three midway through the third

Third quarter ends with the Jets about the get the ball back down three.

Jets pin Detroit back deep with a punt to the nine

Detroit faces fourth and five at the Jets thirty five up three with 8+ left in the game

They went for the long field goal and missed it short.

Jets in prime position to win this game now

Jets about to take the lead in this game and further damage Miami's playoff chances

So Brady has gotten everything to go his way. Nothing has gone Miami’s way

So the dolphins do get a small break as the jets lose.  But still Brady continues being lucky and will win the super bowl

Raiders take the early lead against New England

Now it's tied at three.  Can the Raiders keep it close and give themselves a chance at the end?

CIN-TB is a real win/win for you.

Either Brady wins and you get to simulate being upset about it, or the Bengals win and you get to post multiple times about the Dolphins' hopeless playoff chances.

The Bengals winning or losing has almost no effect on Miami's playoff chances.  If they had won last night, it would have affected their chances.

Did you read my first post in this thread?

CIN's remaining games are TB, NE, BUF, and BAL - all games against teams in the playoff hunt.
If CIN finishes with more losses than MIA, that eliminates them as a team that can block the Dolphins from making the playoffs.
Every CIN loss is relevant to MIA until it is no longer possible for the Bengals to finish with more losses than the Dolphins.

The Raiders pull a Josh Allen and go up by two scores going into halftime.  Can they keep it up?

For that happen, Miami needs to finish with a better record than CIN

This would require Miami to win two out of three games.

After the loss today, It would require Cincy to lose all three of it's remaining games.

Not likely

The Chargers are tied at the half

The Patriots get the ball to start the second half.  Let's hope the Raiders can continue playing well

Playoff seeding is a thing that exists.
It is in the Dolphins' best interest for every team in the AFC playoff hunt that can fall behind MIA in seeding to lose to every team that is NOT in the AFC playoff hunt.
It doesn't get any simpler than that.

If the Bengals win it only very slightly affects Miami's playoff chances.

I'd rather they win and prevent Brady from winning another Super Bowl.

If Miami had won last night, I'd feel differently

Patriots get right back in it with a pick six.

That's what a championship caliber defense does for your team.   

Raiders have to punt near midfield.  Hope they can pin the Patriots deep.

Not quite.

I just realized Miami COULD want Cincinnati to win because they want them to win the AFC North.

I try to analyze probabilities.  Miami is likely to win just one game the rest of the year.  I am rooting for outcomes that would help Miami make the playoffs in that scenario.  It is not possible for Miami to overtake Cincinnati in that scenario.  Therefore, I am rooting for Cincinnati.

Patriots have scored ten unanswered points to pull to within four.

A Patriots win really hurts Miami's chances for the playoffs.

Patriots about to get the ball back with great field position

The Titans and Chargers have traded interceptions.

Pats have the ball down one midway through the fourth quarter.  

The Patriots winning is crushing for Miami's chances.

After a Titans missed field goal, the Chargers are driving

Chargers score.

Raiders have the ball, but can't stop committing penalties.

Patriots defense forces a punt.

Patriots score to take the lead.

Raiders have a touchdown under review right now

Raiders tie it.  Now can the Patriots answer?

Tannehill also leads a tying touchdown drive for the Titans

Bengals have scored 34 unanswered points against the Buccaneers

This has been Miami's day.  The Jets and Patriots both lost in improbable fashion

Chargers win, Bengals win.

Miami's chances got better

The Chargers win was pretty much the only thing that didn’t go our way I’d say.

They aren't really that important to us.  Their schedule is a joke the rest of the way.   

You have it exactly backwards: a loss by LAC today would have moved MIA into the 5 seed, which is probably the third-most desirable seed in the AFC right now.

You keep saying that about other teams, while ignoring our own schedule.

I know you seem to think the Dolphins are trash, but they'll likely be favored in their final 3 games.  Winning out is very doable and a Chargers loss today would've kept our seeding over them.  It was a big game.  ...same with the Ravens loss that you seemed to discount.

They are.

They have no defense.

They'll be lucky to win one game the rest of the season. 

I am rooting for what gives Miami the best chance to make it at 9-8.

The Chargers don't realistically factor into that.  Even if they lost today, they'd be 7-7 with a joke schedule.  They'd have to lose 2 out of 3 for Miami to finish ahead of them

The Ravens don't realistically factor into that either.

The Bengals didn't factor into that AT ALL

The Jets and Patriots do factor into that

If LAC had lost today, they would have to lose the same number of games as the Dolphins in the next three weeks for MIA to finish ahead of them.

The fact that you consider the Dolphins underdogs to two teams with worse records that just lost to the Lions and Raiders says more about you than it does the Dolphins.

That I can watch games, make observations, and draw conclusions?

The Patriots lost to the Raiders by the skin of their teeth.  They are more talented than Miami.

Ditto the Packers.  Miami could very easily be 5-9 or 4-10

I consider them underdogs in ALL THREE GAMES.  Remember, this is a team that needed the refs help to beat the pathetic Chicago Bears.

The Patriots lost to the Dolphins by more than they lost to the Raiders!

It's ironic that I have to point this out to a "Dolphins fan."

I don't know what you've been watching these last few weeks that make make you favor Miami in any of their last three games.

Could you enlighten me?

I don't know that you can be enlightened. In all honesty ... I've defended you more than proabably anyone else but you really do not come off as a Dolphin fan much of the time. You see Brady and all you see is great stuff while you look at the Dolphins and can only point out their faults. You know what they say about if it looks like a duck, quacks like a duck ...


The Patriots are now attached to two of the dumbest game winning runbacks in the history of the NFL. Gotta love that!!

I think they are favored in both their home games.  NE has a huge advantage unless the weather is unseasonably mild.  Miami isn’t a great team, but the Packers suck.  If Dolphins were playing in NJ I would favor the Jets, but in SFla  I give the edge to the fish eaters,

I don’t understand where you get these ideas.  

I see Brady, and I all see is a guy who continually amazes me by how lucky he gets

I don’t see positives about Miami because they have not clinched yet, and have choked away countless playoff chances in twenty years

But anyway, after the officiating in the Patriots-Vikings game, and the officiating yesterday against the Raiders, the Patriots should be 9-5.  The Dolphins should be 7-7.  so even if Miami makes it, it will not be cause for celebration.

https://bearswire.usatoday.com/2022/11/09/bears-dolphins-nfl-admits-officials-missed-on-chase-claypool-eddie-jackson-penalties/ (https://bearswire.usatoday.com/2022/11/09/bears-dolphins-nfl-admits-officials-missed-on-chase-claypool-eddie-jackson-penalties/)

And yet you NEVER stop talking about him. How about just giving it a rest for awhile? That too much to ask? He's not even in our conference anymore let alone the division. No one cares about Brady on these forums...except you.

The Patriots got swept by the Bills, who the Dolphins beat.
The Packers lost a win-and-in game at home to the Lions, who the Dolphins beat.
Both teams are watching the playoffs from their couches.

So much for your advanced insight!

I was right about this.  The Chargers did indeed have a joke schedule the rest of the way

I was right about this, too.

Miami did indeed, have no defense

I was right about this:

Miami did indeed, just win one game for the rest of the year

This is the sum total of my genius analysis, which led me to conclude that Miami was most likely to finish 9-8, which is exactly what happened.