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TDMMC Forums => Around the NFL => Topic started by: dolphins4life on December 09, 2024, 01:20:02 am



Title: Colts/Broncos
Post by: dolphins4life on December 09, 2024, 01:20:02 am
If Miami beats Houston, which is before this game, I think it's in their best interest if Indianapolis wins this game.  I think at that point, our best hope of seeing playoff football is to have the Colts overtake the Texans for the AFC South, which is not unrealistic   

If Miami loses to Houston, they'd be virtually eliminated anyway


Title: Re: Colts/Broncos
Post by: Spider-Dan on December 09, 2024, 01:30:42 am
Miami's best (realistic) path to success:

1) win out (obviously)
2) Colts win AFC South
3) Steelers finish with #2 seed
4) #7 MIA @ #2 PIT on Wild Card Weekend

DEN cannot beat MIA on tiebreakers, and DEN still has to play IND, LAC, and KC.


Title: Re: Colts/Broncos
Post by: Pappy13 on December 10, 2024, 01:16:30 pm
Miami's best (realistic) path to success:

1) win out (obviously)
2) Colts win AFC South
3) Steelers finish with #2 seed
4) #7 MIA @ #2 PIT on Wild Card Weekend

DEN cannot beat MIA on tiebreakers, and DEN still has to play IND, LAC, and KC.
If the Dolphins win out there's a good chance they would be the 6th seed, but I think what you're saying is that if they make the playoffs their best chance is against the Steelers and I would agree with that. Unfortunately I think it's just as likely they lose 3 of their next 4 as I think @ Texans, vs 49'ers and @ Jets are all going to be tough games and Miami @ Cleveland is no gimme. Realistically Miami needs to win 3 of 4 and hope for some help from Denver and Indy for the 7th seed, it's possible but not very likely. I still think their chances of making the playoffs hover around 5% and their chances of winning a playoff game are < 1%, but I'd still like to see them make the playoffs anyway. One more game to watch this year.


Title: Re: Colts/Broncos
Post by: masterfins on December 11, 2024, 08:26:47 pm
If the Dolphins win out there's a good chance they would be the 6th seed, but I think what you're saying is that if they make the playoffs their best chance is against the Steelers and I would agree with that. Unfortunately I think it's just as likely they lose 3 of their next 4 as I think @ Texans, vs 49'ers and @ Jets are all going to be tough games and Miami @ Cleveland is no gimme. Realistically Miami needs to win 3 of 4 and hope for some help from Denver and Indy for the 7th seed, it's possible but not very likely. I still think their chances of making the playoffs hover around 5% and their chances of winning a playoff game are < 1%, but I'd still like to see them make the playoffs anyway. One more game to watch this year.

The Dolphins have to move ahead of either the Chargers or Broncos for a playoff spot, so those are the two teams to root for losing; based on the remaining schedule Miami is unlikely to pass the Chargers..  The Ravens quite possibly could move ahead of the Steelers to win that division.

The Steelers have an incredibly tough remaining schedule, they could go 0-4.  They play the Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs (short week), and the Bengals.

The Bronco's have Indy, Chargers, Bengals, and Chiefs, the Bronco's & Chargers are battling for 2nd in the division behind the Chiefs who have locked up the top spot.

The Chargers play Bucs, Broncos, Patriots and Raiders, a few soft teams.

The Colts have one of the easier remaining schedules with the Bronco's, Titans, Giants, and Jags, so with the exception of the Broncos Miami wants Indy to lose at least one of the other games.


Title: Re: Colts/Broncos
Post by: masterfins on December 11, 2024, 08:30:44 pm
Miami's best (realistic) path to success:

1) win out (obviously)
2) Colts win AFC South
3) Steelers finish with #2 seed
4) #7 MIA @ #2 PIT on Wild Card Weekend

DEN cannot beat MIA on tiebreakers, and DEN still has to play IND, LAC, and KC.

I don't know why you would want the Colts to win the AFC South, that would make the Texans a wild card team and probably eliminate any chance of Miami making the playoffs, unless you think the Texans are going to finish 1-3 with Miami going 4-0.

And the Steelers aren't going to be the #2 seed, it's quite possible they end up the 5th or 6th seed.



Title: Re: Colts/Broncos
Post by: Spider-Dan on December 11, 2024, 10:22:43 pm
IND is currently 6-7.  If they win the AFC South then HOU necessarily has at least 8 losses (HOU already swept IND).
MIA obviously needs to win on Sunday, but if they do, an 8-loss Texans team is a non-factor; if MIA loses 9+ games, many teams will finish ahead of them.