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Poll
Question: Which is more likely?
Winning the division.   -22 (84.6%)
Getting a wildcard.   -4 (15.4%)
Total Voters: 0

Author Topic: Most likely path to the playoffs?  (Read 9593 times)
Dave Gray
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« on: December 01, 2008, 02:16:17 pm »

Discuss.
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raptorsfan29
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« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2008, 02:41:57 pm »

i said divison, if we can win out, we will get the division.

On the wildcard side if we win out, indy or Baltimore would have to go 3-1 to tie us, and i think they both own the tiebreaker over us.
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Phishfan
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« Reply #2 on: December 01, 2008, 02:47:43 pm »

I think we have to win the division to make the playoffs (same thing for the Jets & Pats as I think only one team is going).

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Dave Gray
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« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2008, 02:59:19 pm »

I also said division, as well.  Had we beaten the Pats, I think we'd have more roads to get there, and it would put the pressure on some of these other teams.

I think if we win the remainder of our games (which won't happen, I don't think), that we'll win our division, and get in.  Otherwise, I don't see us catching enough teams to get in the back door.
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YoFuggedaboutit
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« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2008, 04:24:54 pm »

I'm going with a divisional title as well.  Baltimore has the tiebreaker advantage over us, and Indy is getting hot right now. 
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MyGodWearsAHoodie
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« Reply #5 on: December 01, 2008, 04:36:57 pm »

Division.  It is almost impossible for the Dolphins to get in on a wildcard.

If the Dolphins run the table they win the division.

Right now the wild card spots are held by Baltimore and Indy both at 8-4.

Both Balt and Indy would break tie breakers with Mia.  Ravens won head to head, Colts conf record is 7-2, Mia 5-4.  In order for Mia to get a wildcard spot MIA would have to lose one game and one of those two teams would have to lose 3 of the next 4 games and NE would have to lose one. 
 
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Tepop84
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« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2008, 05:54:22 pm »

I don't think we will win the wildcard.  Indy and Balt are too far ahead.
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doctord56
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« Reply #7 on: December 01, 2008, 06:43:46 pm »

Much as I would love to see it, I doubt the dolphins will make the playoffs. I just don't think they are quite good enough this year to jump the teams ahead of them. However, it is a glorious thing to have this sort of discussion 12 games into the season, and represents more progress than I ever could have hoped for last December.

If, if, if.....I think a division win would be the more likely route.
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« Reply #8 on: December 01, 2008, 06:57:41 pm »

While football in January would be fun, we're just not a "playoff caliber team". We have so many weaknesses, we'd be slaughtered by a competent team on Wild Card Weekend.
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Dave Gray
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« Reply #9 on: December 01, 2008, 07:19:25 pm »

I think the playoffs are extremely unlikely at this point.  Here's why I say that.

In my equation, here is my given: That the Dolphins will have to win out to make the playoffs.

That means, we have to beat the Bills, Niners, Chiefs, and Jets.

With parity the way it is, it's hard to win 4 in a row against any teams, especially two in your division.


I give us .50, .60, .60, and .40 chances, respectively.  That gives us about a 7% chance...which sounds about right to me.

 
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jtex316
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« Reply #10 on: December 02, 2008, 01:00:33 am »

You are all forgetting the reason this website was built - the DECEMBER DEMISE!!

This is the month where the Dolphins blow their chances at the playoffs. I expect this to continue in 2008, starting with a devastating loss @ Buffalo @ Toronto.
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raptorsfan29
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« Reply #11 on: December 02, 2008, 01:30:12 am »


With parity the way it is, it's hard to win 4 in a row against any teams


if you didn't realize it. but we managed a 4 game win streak earlier this season, we can pull all 4 in a row again. just take one game at a time and see where things go.
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bsfins
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« Reply #12 on: December 02, 2008, 10:04:41 am »

I have to admit, Buffalo,the 49ers,and the Chiefs and then the F'n Jets...To me the way we're playing should we win 3 of those ...I think we'll blow atleast one of them...I think Having the Colts and Ravens leading the wildcard...The division is the only way we get in the playoffs...
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Dave Gray
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« Reply #13 on: December 02, 2008, 02:43:49 pm »

if you didn't realize it. but we managed a 4 game win streak earlier this season, we can pull all 4 in a row again. just take one game at a time and see where things go.

Just because it happened once, doesn't mean it will happen twice.  It's possible, sure, but not likely.
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EDGECRUSHER
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« Reply #14 on: December 02, 2008, 02:53:39 pm »

We essentially have to go undefeated the rest of the way unless the Jets lose 3 games as well as the Pats. This was a bad year to be a wild card contender. It is very likely we will have 4 10-6 or better teams, with 2 missing out on the playoffs.

Not likely we win out, but I think it's quite possible we face the Jets in Week 17 with a playoff berth on the line.
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