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Author Topic: Playoff chances  (Read 27421 times)
fyo
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« Reply #90 on: December 14, 2009, 04:12:22 pm »
Quote from: dolphins4life on December 14, 2009, 12:57:55 pm
We are behind Jax even though we beat them.

Mind-boggling stuff

We're only behind Jacksonville if there's a tie that involves more teams. If it's just us and the Jags, our victory is the only thing that counts. But if there's another team and we haven't beaten them as well, that's when conference record, common games, strength of victory etc. come into play.

I really doubt the Jags can beat both the Colts and the Patriots, though, so they're not a primary concern.
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fyo
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« Reply #91 on: December 14, 2009, 06:09:30 pm »
Rumors are that the Colts will pull their starters. If true, that makes a big difference provided the Dolphins win out. The Jags and Jets could be looking at wins. Both teams feature in Miami's SOV (the Jets twice), but not the Broncos. Those two games would be a 3-point shift for the Dolphins, leveling the expected SOV scores.
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Tepop84
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« Reply #92 on: December 14, 2009, 06:12:32 pm »
Quote from: fyo on December 14, 2009, 06:09:30 pm
Rumors are that the Colts will pull their starters. If true, that makes a big difference provided the Dolphins win out. The Jags and Jets could be looking at wins. Both teams feature in Miami's SOV (the Jets twice), but not the Broncos. Those two games would be a 3-point shift for the Dolphins, leveling the expected SOV scores.

I don't know why Peyton wouldn't want to try to go undefeated.  I am sure he has enough pull in that organization to make them try.
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NADS
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« Reply #93 on: December 15, 2009, 02:13:53 am »
I'm still going with we only get in if we win the East.  I think we'll take Houston (finally) and Pittsburgh but am worried about the Titans at Tennessee.  Pats are at Buffy, vs Jags, and at Houston.  I think the most they'll lose is one (Houston) so I'm hoping for a meltdown at Buffalo to give us a shot at the title.  Brady will shred Jacksonville. 

Quote from: Tepop84 on December 14, 2009, 06:12:32 pm
I don't know why Peyton wouldn't want to try to go undefeated.  I am sure he has enough pull in that organization to make them try.

Yep. If he gets four series he'll surely try to put up 28--the over is looking good.
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hordman
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« Reply #94 on: December 15, 2009, 07:39:38 am »
Quote from: Denver_Bronco on December 14, 2009, 11:52:49 am
But Miami is home watching them crap their pants in the first round of the playoffs. Thats the key!

Are you serious, I mean really serious???  what, if any, indication do the Foals show that tell you they're a playoff team?  name the big win in the last 6-7 weeks (when ur supposedly starting play ur best ball)Huh

you gonna count the G-Men???  they have been maligned for most of the season, since the 5-0 start.  You got smacked by PIT, BAL & SD for a combined 90-20.....wow.  that's some telling nos.  but you did put the smackdown on KC.

truth be told, DEN is in the same boat as MIA.  MIA is a good solid team (year away from making some serious noise),  much like DEN, but MIA has been in EVERY game this year and does not get blown out.  not gonna win every game, but they're gonna hang and get a chance to win in the 4th.

DEN may be good for a WC spot, but nothing after that.
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Doc-phin
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« Reply #95 on: December 15, 2009, 11:47:44 am »
Hard to keep up with this thread, but the most intriguing game in my mind is the Jax-Pats game.  Although it is true that it is a guaranteed win for one of them, it is also a guaranteed loss.

Pats lose and we have a shot at the division.  Jags lose and we have a shot at the wildcard.  When all is said and done, we may not get into the playoffs but I am shocked we have as good of a chance as we do.
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Spider-Dan
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« Reply #96 on: December 15, 2009, 12:44:45 pm »
Quote from: fyo on December 14, 2009, 06:09:30 pm
Rumors are that the Colts will pull their starters. If true, that makes a big difference provided the Dolphins win out. The Jags and Jets could be looking at wins. Both teams feature in Miami's SOV (the Jets twice), but not the Broncos. Those two games would be a 3-point shift for the Dolphins, leveling the expected SOV scores.
The good thing about this situation is that provided the Dolphins win out, we only have to worry about JAX or NE, not both.  Whichever one of them loses that game is no longer a threat.
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MyGodWearsAHoodie
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« Reply #97 on: December 20, 2009, 04:28:47 pm »
Just got slimmer. 
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ethurst22
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« Reply #98 on: December 20, 2009, 04:31:00 pm »
We're not going to the playoffs. To me, the only scenario was the patriots losing and us winning out and that's not going to happen.
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dolphins4life
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« Reply #99 on: December 20, 2009, 04:43:10 pm »
We need Baltimore to lose twice and for us to win our two remaining games.
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dolphins4life
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« Reply #100 on: December 20, 2009, 04:54:18 pm »
Or maybe Denver can pull another major choke job. 
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hordman
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« Reply #101 on: December 20, 2009, 05:24:16 pm »
Quote from: dolphins4life on December 20, 2009, 04:54:18 pm
Or maybe Denver can pull another major choke job. 

I'm liking that option. Smiley
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Tenshot13
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« Reply #102 on: December 20, 2009, 05:44:32 pm »
It's not over yet...Denver is currently choking to Oakland.
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fyo
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« Reply #103 on: December 20, 2009, 05:51:31 pm »
Quote from: Tenshot13 on December 20, 2009, 05:44:32 pm
It's not over yet...Denver is currently choking to Oakland.

Denver would still be a game ahead.
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Tenshot13
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« Reply #104 on: December 20, 2009, 07:20:19 pm »
Quote from: fyo on December 20, 2009, 05:51:31 pm
Denver would still be a game ahead.

I know, but first things first.  Not looking good, donkeys are ahead again.
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