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Author Topic: 49ers @ Fins  (Read 9160 times)
disappointedyearly
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« Reply #15 on: November 27, 2016, 03:29:04 pm »

That possession was exactly what we needed.

Defense needs to come out and force a punt.
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Cathal
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« Reply #16 on: November 27, 2016, 03:29:29 pm »

Awesome job! I'm glad that they have been able to pull away. If it was another 3 point win or 7 point win that would be a problem. I think they just dropped more points on the 49ers than the Pats, which is cool.
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Tenshot13
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« Reply #17 on: November 27, 2016, 03:29:33 pm »

Been waiting for Carroo to do something.  Great play, keep the foot on the pedal.
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #18 on: November 27, 2016, 03:31:20 pm »

If this defense was "built to play with a lead," well now's the time. Wink
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #19 on: November 27, 2016, 03:32:17 pm »

Dolphins 99.2% likely to win at this point.
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #20 on: November 27, 2016, 03:38:19 pm »

I don't like the conservative defensive call on 3rd and 12, up 17.  My lord, so what if they burn a blitz for a TD.  You're still up 10.
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Cathal
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« Reply #21 on: November 27, 2016, 03:38:44 pm »

Man, this team never feels like they're going to win a game until no time remains. Even with a 17 point lead with 9 minutes left I still feel like it'll be a close game.
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #22 on: November 27, 2016, 03:40:11 pm »

Man, this team never feels like they're going to win a game until no time remains. Even with a 17 point lead with 9 minutes left I still feel like it'll be a close game.

That's because you're emotionally invested in one of the teams.  If you were watching two teams you didn't care about, you'd think the one up 31-17 had the game in the bag. Wink
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disappointedyearly
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« Reply #23 on: November 27, 2016, 03:41:40 pm »

Let's put some more points on the board.
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Cathal
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« Reply #24 on: November 27, 2016, 03:41:47 pm »

That's because you're emotionally invested in one of the teams.  If you were watching two teams you didn't care about, you'd think the one up 31-17 had the game in the bag. Wink

Oh, I'm aware. But when you're up by 17 and let the team get a TD in about a minute, you're thinking the other offense is starting to click. I know that's not objectively looking at data but there is a momentum swing that does happen. Smiley
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #25 on: November 27, 2016, 03:45:00 pm »

Oh, I'm aware. But when you're up by 17 and let the team get a TD in about a minute, you're thinking the other offense is starting to click. I know that's not objectively looking at data but there is a momentum swing that does happen. Smiley

Should've blitzed on 3rd and 12. Smiley
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #26 on: November 27, 2016, 03:47:06 pm »

Oh, I'm aware. But when you're up by 17 and let the team get a TD in about a minute, you're thinking the other offense is starting to click. I know that's not objectively looking at data but there is a momentum swing that does happen. Smiley

Don't be surprised if Vegas is right, and the Dolphins win by about 7.  It's uncanny how often that happens.
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Cathal
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« Reply #27 on: November 27, 2016, 03:53:29 pm »

See what I'm saying? 3 and out by the Dolphins and the 49ers are getting some good chunks of yards. At least the 49ers aren't really moving quickly. But the Fins should have gotten at least 1 first down to waste more than 90 seconds.
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #28 on: November 27, 2016, 03:56:27 pm »

See what I'm saying? 3 and out by the Dolphins and the 49ers are getting some good chunks of yards. At least the 49ers aren't really moving quickly. But the Fins should have gotten at least 1 first down to waste more than 90 seconds.

The 49ers "know" they aren't supposed to lose to the Dolphins by 17, and I doubt the Dolphins think they're "supposed to" beat the 49ers by 17, so there is an expected surge of energy by the 49ers when the scoreboard reaches that point, with possible complacency on the Dolphins' part, as well.

This is why Vegas is right so often.  These teams "know" what's "supposed to" happen, based on the strength of the teams involved.
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Dolfanalyst
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« Reply #29 on: November 27, 2016, 04:05:29 pm »

You'd hate to think what the Dolphins' record would be if they hadn't benefited from an 11-2 turnover margin the past six games.

The 10 points off of turnovers today is more than the difference in the game right now.
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