In addition to winning out they would need multiple teams to collapse.
As a fan, you never give up hope until, but when your team is 2+ games behind 7 teams for the 3 wild cards, it's more than a little unlikely that the Dolphins manage to stumble into the playoffs - even if they could win out.
I guess I could *imagine* the Dolphins winning the next 4 games (although I think 1 or 2 wins is more likely), but @Saints, @Titans, Patriots looks a lot like 2-3 losses.
Football Outsiders' model had the Dolphins with 6 wins (total) before week 10. I'm guessing that goes up at least a game, but the way the team is playing, finishing with more than 7 or 8 wins would be a minor miracle in my book. Personally, I still think 6 wins is the most likely. The Panthers are looking invigorated and I wouldn't be surprised if we lost that. Of the 3 NY games (@Jets, Giants, Jets) odds are we'll find a way to lose at least one of them. That would leave the Dolphins having to find a win among the strong trio to finish the season (see above) to even get to 6 wins.
Yeah, I'm not seeing a playoff run...