Dave Gray
Administrator
Uber Member
Posts: 30797
It's doo-doo, baby!
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« Reply #3 on: December 18, 2023, 09:05:35 am » |
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I don't think I agree with many of your assessments, again.
If you look at the teams fighting for that last spot, you basically have a bunch of backup QB bums and then Josh Allen. That's just the reality. I think you want a lot of teams in the mix. They're all multiple games behind you and you're trying to win your division, where wildcard standings don't matter.
Bengals - backup Browns - backup Colts - backup Steelers - backup Texans - backup Titans - backup Broncos - Russell Wilson, but we have the head-to-head and we beat them by 50.
So, these teams rising above Buffalo is important.
We wanted Browns over Bears and we got it. We wanted Patriots over Chiefs and we lost that one. We wanted Texans over Titans and we won that. We wanted Cowboys over Bills, obviously, but Cowboys came out totally flat.
Ravens/Jags is an interesting one. On snap judgment, you would say you want the Jags to win, but I'm not so sure. Realistically, I don't think we're going to catch the Ravens. We control our own destiny because we play them, but we have a hard schedule and we'd probably have to win out or ask the Ravens to lose 2 of 3. If we win out, the Ravens beating the Jags doesn't matter anyway. But the Jags losing really helps the chances of at least locking in the 3 seed, which would maybe turn out to make no difference, but if there's an upset somewhere, it would mean a 2nd home playoff game, which would be pretty huge.
We are in this weird spot, where I think that drawing Buffalo is the big L, over just trying to get a higher seed. They're just so much scarier than any of the other bum teams in that group. If the Bills are out, I'm much more comfortable with the path.
The nightmare scenario is to get beat soundly in Buffalo, then lose again to them at home, only to draw them in the first round the very next week.
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