If SF and HOU continue their slides, then no matter what happens for the rest of the season, MIA can (at best) only beat "one good team" this year (even if they win out). That, in turn, would mean that unless they beat a #2 seed as a #7 seed (which could very well mean trying to be the first team to beat the Chiefs in the playoffs in 3 years), this will be just yet another late season collapse.
MIA has beaten good teams; they've beaten BAL, BUF, DAL. If you're going to continue to find reasons to dismiss every win they get against a good team, you'll continue to be disappointed.
Going back to 2022 to find wins against Baltimore and Buffalo isn't a very strong argument